Low temps and rain to kick off next week

(TULSA, Okla.) A cold front made its way south over west central Arkansas and southeast Oklahoma Sunday. Cooler air behind this cold front, combined with increasing clouds and rain chances beginning late Sunday night into Monday, will likely yield record low max temperatures for a few locations across northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas for Monday. The clouds and rain will spread south into Tuesday and will more than likely lead to another day of record low max temps, this time over much of the area. Elevated instability gradually increases from the southwest on Tuesday so thunder chances go up by then. A warm front is expected to lift north across the region Tuesday night into Wednesday, though there is some uncertainty as to how quick this will occur. There will be a chance of elevated storms mainly on the cool side of the advancing warm front. By Wednesday afternoon, we will quickly flip back to warm and humid in the warm sector. Dryline storm activity out west, or what it will evolve into, may spread into eastern Oklahoma Wednesday evening with some severe potential. By Thursday, a frontal boundary to our north will initiate storms that will likely grow upscale into a complex and plunge south into our area Thursday night. After that, uncertainty increases considerably with mesoscale details becoming more important in a weaker flow regime aloft. Monday Rain likely, mainly between 8am and 2pm. Cloudy, with a high near 55. East wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Monday Night Rain, mainly after 2am. Low around 47. East wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Tuesday Rain before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 54. East wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Tuesday Night Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. East wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Wednesday A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Southeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Wednesday Night A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Thursday A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Thursday Night Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Friday Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Friday Night A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 66. South wind 10 to 15 mph. Saturday A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. South wind around 10 mph.