Above average temperatures next week

(TULSA, Okla.) Surface high pressure moving southeastward across the central plains will continue to usher in clear skies, light winds, and cooler temperatures through the remainder of Sunday into Monday morning. Given the expected clear skies and light winds, temperatures are expected to fall quickly after sunset Sunday. This is thanks to strong radiative cooling, with 30s expected across NW AR and parts of NE OK. Isolated to patchy frost is possible for parts of these aforementioned areas, especially those locations sheltered from the wind such as valleys or elevated surfaces such as a roof. Any frost that forms late Sunday night into early tomorrow morning will likely be brief and will quickly melt off once the sun rises. The deep trough that was over the eastern half of the US for the past several days will continue to get shoved to the east thanks to a mid level ridge migrating eastward into the central plains. This ridge will usher in a warming trend that will see temperatures well above normal some days, like Wednesday, which will see mid 80s. Some locations will have upper 80s to near 90. Models are still hinting at bringing a back door cold front close to the area Thursday. This may lower temps a few degrees through the weekend for some. Next weekend looks to continue the warm and dry trend, with winds increasing out of the south quite a bit by Sunday (gusts over 30mph at times) thanks to a deepening lee trough ejecting out of the Rockies. Models are starting to show a large, deep trough over the western US that moves into the central US by the beginning of the following work week. If this pans out, this would be our next best chance for precipitation. Timing and intensity vary. Another thing to note/watch will be the tropics. Tropical Storm Gamma is currently located just off the Yucatan Peninsula in the southern Gulf of Mexico while another tropical wave is not too far behind in the central Caribbean with a high chance of becoming the next tropical storm over the next few days. One or a combination of both of these systems is expected to bring tropical moisture into the southeastern US. There are still many questions regarding how far west this moisture will reach and if it will affect our area. The latest guidance tends to favor this tropical moisture staying just to the east of the area thanks to the aforementioned trough shoving this moisture eastward. With all this said, if the trough is a little slower or is a little weaken then there is a greater potential for showers/storms moving into the area by late next weekend or early the following week. For now, we opted to go with the drier solution across the area through Sunday with Monday (which is just outside the scope of this forecast) likely seeing the next best chance of rain. Monday Sunny, with a high near 74. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Monday Night Clear, with a low around 52. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Tuesday Sunny, with a high near 81. South wind around 5 mph. Tuesday Night Clear, with a low around 56. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming south after midnight. Wednesday Sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the morning. Wednesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 58. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Thursday Sunny, with a high near 85. Light east wind becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Thursday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 58. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Friday Sunny, with a high near 83. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Friday Night Clear, with a low around 60. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Saturday Sunny, with a high near 84. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Saturday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 62. South wind around 10 mph. Sunday Sunny, with a high near 83. South wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.