Flood Watch issued through Thursday morning

(TULSA, Okla.) Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms will continue through the day northwest to southeast before ending late Wednesday night and Thursday as a cold front pushes through the area. 

As a result, a Flood Watch has been issued for the area through Thursday morning. 

An almost tropical like airmass is in place over the area with deep moisture, low lifting condensation levels, and moderate to strong low level shear. This has resulted in rather innocuous looking storms showing low level rotation overnight. The main severe weather threat through the morning will continue to be tornadoes from low-topped convection.

Outflow boundaries from morning convection will likely determine where any severe storms may fire later Wednesday afternoon into the evening. The overall best severe parameters will likely be to our southwest, though. 

Locally heavy rainfall will be a bigger concern in our area later Wednesday and Wednesday night, with both flash flooding and main-stem river flooding possible depending on just where the heavier rain swaths set up.

We will dry out later Thursday through Saturday, but the model

consensus has shifted much farther north with the track of the upper system once it finally ejects out of northern Mexico or southwest Texas. Thus shower and thunderstorm chances will return Sunday as this system moves over or near the area.

Another storm system may affect the area early next week, but the usual timing differences exist, so precipitation chances have been kept on the lower side for now.