A break between storms predicted next week

(TULSA, Okla.) Showers developed across parts of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas Sunday, mainly along the north of the Hwy 412 corridor. These showers are thanks to a nearby upper low spinning away across central Missouri. As we continue to heat up and destabilize in between the showers, expect a few storms to develop. One thing to look out for the rest of the day (and tends to be common with a nearby upper low) would be the potential for brief funnels to develop within stronger updraft cores where stretching of vorticity can be maximized. We don’t expect any of these funnels to reach the ground. Any activity that develops will gradually weaken around and after sun set. 

The main threats for Sunday will be locally heavy, brief downpours and occasional cloud-to-ground lightning. A similar set up for showers and isolated thunderstorms will persist into tomorrow afternoon and before slowly exiting Tuesday afternoon/evening with precipitation chances slowly migrating eastward each day.

We will see a break in the action on Wednesday with windy and humid conditions in full swing. These elevated winds are in response to the next storm system expected to arrive Thursday. There are still some discrepancies across much of the guidance when it comes to the timing, but we do expect this system to dip into at least parts of the area for Thursday, with more of the area seeing chances for showers and storms as we move into the weekend. A mid-level jet will tend to be near stationary over the area Thursday into Friday and will help to bring a few waves of precipitation. Confidence is high in shower/storm development, but timing remains highly uncertain.

Monday

Sunny, with a high near 85. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

Monday Night

Clear, with a low around 67. South wind around 5 mph.

Tuesday

A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Tuesday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 73. South wind 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday

Sunny, with a high near 93. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Wednesday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Thursday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Thursday Night

A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Friday

A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Friday Night

A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. South wind 10 to 15 mph.

Saturday

A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.