Warmer than normal then lower than normal temperatures next week

(TULSA, Okla.) High temperatures well above normal are expected Sunday and Monday with gusty southerly winds both days. A weak cold front will push into northeast Oklahoma during the day Tuesday, along with increasing cloud cover keeping temperatures only slightly cooler. The cold frontal push on Tuesday continues to appear minimal with the boundary quickly lifting northward as pressures fall in advance of the next stronger wave.

The forecast remains mostly consistent for the Wednesday through Thursday time frame as the next storm system passes the region. Moisture will steadily increase across the region on Wednesday and

scattered light showers and possibly a few thunderstorms may develop within this pattern, however higher chances of convection will ultimately focus on the advancing cold front. 

Timing remains a challenge. Blended guidance precipitation chances remain the best course of action with showers and storm chances increasing late in the day Wednesday and continuing through Wednesday evening. Any rain chances on Thursday continue to trend downward with the faster frontal progression. Instability across the warm sector continues to appear minimal and any severe weather potential is likely to remain limited in both coverage and duration.

Cooler and breezy conditions are expected Thursday and Friday with below normal temperatures returning a few days late this week into next weekend.

Monday

Sunny, with a high near 73. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Monday Night

Increasing clouds, with a low around 54. South wind 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. South wind 5 to 15 mph.

Tuesday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. South wind 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday

A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Wednesday Night

Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. South wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Veterans Day

A 20 percent chance of showers before noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Thursday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 37. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

Friday

Sunny, with a high near 51. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Friday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 33. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

Saturday

Sunny, with a high near 50. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.